Military
BRIEF: Ceasefire pauses SDF-Damascus fighting
Over the course of a week between the 2nd and 7th October, a range of military flashpoints erupted across the north-east, triggering a crisis-within-a-crisis in Aleppo’s Kurdish-majority districts, Sheikh Maqsoud and Ashrafiyeh. A US-brokered ceasefire brought an end to hostilities...
BRIEF: Ceasefire pauses SDF-Damascus fighting
Over the course of a week between the 2nd and 7th October, a range of military flashpoints erupted across the...
BRIEF: Rising instability in south-west Syria
Amid the fallout of attacks in Suwayda and ongoing Israeli ground incursions, interim authorities’ governance patterns in the south-west have...
BRIEF: Suwayda ceasefire holds but internal divisions grow
For another week, there has been no change on the ground in Suwayda, with ceasefire violations limited to small-scale armed...
Political
ANALYSIS: Syria’s parliamentary elections & the crisis of representation
The 5th October 2025 parliamentary elections were presented as a landmark in Syria’s post-Assad transition, yet the process demonstrated authoritarian...
ANALYSIS: While New York greets al-Shara’a, grievances grow at home
As interim President Ahmad al-Shara’a travels to New York to attend the UN General Assembly, he departs an increasingly fractured...
BRIEF: Suwayda ceasefire holds, political talks stall amid mutual distrust
There has been no change to the map of control in Suwayda since ETANA’s last reporting in late August. Suwayda’s...
STUDY: Israel’s Strategy in South Syria
Download PDF On the same day that Syrians took to the streets to celebrate the downfall of Bashar al-Assad, Israeli...
BRIEF: Suwayda under siege
A tentative ceasefire that has mostly held in Suwayda since 20th July has yielded a new tactic from interim authorities:...
BRIEF: Suwayda truce holds, authorities navigate next steps
Despite scattered and not insignificant bouts of fighting since the tripartite ceasefire came into effect last weekend, the general picture...
ANALYSIS: Course-correcting Syria’s political transition after Suwayda
The Suwayda crisis has laid bare the dangers of militarised governance, exclusionary politics, and top-down transition models. Without a fundamental...
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